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Saturday · September 12 · 7:15 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

Phillies 2
BRAVES 12

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–12 Braves

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Braves Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 45% 55% — ✓
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games