Wednesday · September 9 · 7:15 pm ✦
RAYS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r
Final
RAYS
7
Braves
2
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 7–2 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 60% | 40% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 36% | 64% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games