Friday · September 11 · 7:15 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 76 degrees, rain, wind 8 mph in from rf
Final
Phillies
5
BRAVES
6
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 5–6 Braves
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games