Tuesday · September 8 · 7:15 pm ✦
RAYS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 86 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
RAYS
7
Braves
1
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 7–1 Rays
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games