← Back to the recap

Friday · August 28 · 7:15 pm ✦

ROCKIES @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 1 mph out to cf

Final

Rockies 4
BRAVES 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–6 Braves

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Colorado Rockies 56% 44% — ✗
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 40% 60% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games