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Friday · August 14 · 7:15 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

D-BACKS 2
Braves 0

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–0 D-backs

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 4–5
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 35% 65% 3–5
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 50% 50%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 52% 48%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 43% 57% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Braves this season

63–61

51% across 124 games