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Wednesday · August 12 · 7:15 pm ✦

METS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 88 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to lf

Final

Mets 3
BRAVES 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–6 Braves

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Braves Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 29% 71% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Atlanta Braves 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 34% 66% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 43% 57% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games