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Saturday · August 15 · 7:15 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

D-BACKS 10
Braves 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 10–3 D-backs

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 35% 65% 4–6
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 52% 48%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 40% 60%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–53

57% across 122 games

Braves this season

63–60

51% across 123 games