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Monday · August 10 · 7:15 pm ✦

METS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

METS 8
Braves 5

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 8–5 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Braves Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 60% 40% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 4–4
Logistic New York Mets 54% 46%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 48% 52%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 50% 50% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games

Braves this season

63–61

51% across 124 games