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Tuesday · August 4 · 7:15 pm ✦

MARLINS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph l to r

Final

Marlins 2
BRAVES 4

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–5 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–4 Braves

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–5 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 35% 65% 3–5 ✓
Logistic Miami Marlins 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 43% 57% 4–5 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games