← Back to the recap

Saturday · August 1 · 7:15 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

Nationals 3
BRAVES 8

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–5 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–8 Braves

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 33% 67% 3–5 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 24% 76% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 41% 59% 3–5 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games