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Friday · July 31 · 7:15 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to lf

Final

Nationals 2
BRAVES 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–6 Braves

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 35% 65% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 34% 66% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games