Thursday · July 23 · 12:17 PM ✦
PADRES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 82 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf
Final
Padres
5
BRAVES
6
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 5–6 Braves
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games