Thursday · July 30 · 7:15 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 87 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
Nationals
4
BRAVES
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–5 Braves
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
68–56
55% across 124 games
Braves this season
63–61
51% across 124 games