Tuesday · July 21 · 7:15 pm ✦
PADRES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph in from cf
Final
PADRES
8
Braves
3
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 8–3 Padres
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 30% | 70% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
77–46
63% across 123 games
Braves this season
64–61
51% across 125 games