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Wednesday · July 22 · 7:15 pm ✦

PADRES @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

Padres 6
BRAVES 7

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 6–7 Braves

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 46% 54%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 22% 78%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 43% 57% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games

Braves this season

64–61

51% across 125 games