Monday · July 20 · 7:15 pm ✦
PADRES @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf
Final
Padres
2
BRAVES
3
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–3 Braves
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 62% | 38% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 29% | 71% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games