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Monday · July 20 · 7:15 pm ✦

PADRES @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

Padres 2
BRAVES 3

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–3 Braves

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Braves Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 62% 38% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 55% 45%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 29% 71%
Consensus San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games

Braves this season

64–61

51% across 125 games