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Saturday · July 18 · 4:13 PM ✦

RANGERS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf

Final

RANGERS 7
Braves 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 7–6 Rangers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Braves Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 53% 47% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 24% 76% 3–5
Logistic Atlanta Braves 48% 52%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 44% 56%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 43% 57% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

69–55

56% across 124 games

Braves this season

64–61

51% across 125 games