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Monday · July 6 · 7:15 pm ✦

METS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

METS 7
Braves 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 7–6 Mets

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 52% 48%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 41% 59%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Braves this season

45–40

53% across 85 games