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Sunday · July 5 · 2:17 PM ✦

METS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf

Final

METS 10
Braves 9

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 10–9 Mets

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Braves Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 67% 33% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 41% 59%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 32% 68%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 48% 52% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Braves this season

45–40

53% across 85 games