Sunday · July 5 · 2:17 PM ✦
METS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf
Final
METS
10
Braves
9
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 10–9 Mets
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 32% | 68% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
48–37
56% across 85 games
Braves this season
45–40
53% across 85 games