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Saturday · July 4 · 8:08 pm ✦

METS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph r to l

Final

Mets 3
BRAVES 14

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–14 Braves

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Atlanta Braves 41% 59%
Random Forest New York Mets 54% 46%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 48% 52% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Braves this season

45–40

53% across 85 games