Friday · July 3 · 7:15 pm ✦
METS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 91 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from rf
Final
Mets
3
BRAVES
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–5 Braves
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 53% | 47% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
48–37
56% across 85 games
Braves this season
45–40
53% across 85 games