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Wednesday · July 1 · 7:15 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from lf

Final

Cardinals 1
BRAVES 5

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–5 Braves

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 31% 69% 3–4 ✓
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games