Thursday · July 2 · 7:15 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 93 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph l to r
Final
CARDINALS
11
Braves
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 11–5 Cardinals
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games