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Thursday · July 2 · 7:15 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 93 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph l to r

Final

CARDINALS 11
Braves 5

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 11–5 Cardinals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Atlanta Braves 38% 62%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 34% 66%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

46–39

54% across 85 games

Braves this season

45–40

53% across 85 games