Tuesday · June 30 · 7:15 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf
Final
CARDINALS
5
Braves
3
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 5–3 Cardinals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
46–39
54% across 85 games
Braves this season
45–40
53% across 85 games