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Sunday · June 7 · 1:35 PM ✦

PIRATES @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 78 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph calm

Final

Pirates 2
BRAVES 3

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–3 Braves

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 27% 73% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 35% 65% 2–3 ✓
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 50% 50% — ✗
Consensus Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games