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Thursday · June 4 · 7:15 pm ✦

BLUE JAYS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 80 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph in from lf

Final

BLUE JAYS 7
Braves 2

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 7–2 Blue Jays

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Braves Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–4
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 52% 48%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 50% 50% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

42–45

48% across 87 games

Braves this season

45–41

52% across 86 games