Saturday · May 23 · 4:10 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 78 degrees, overcast, wind 6 mph in from lf
Final
NATIONALS
2
Braves
0
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–0 Nationals
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 35% | 65% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games