Sunday · May 24 ✦
NATIONALS @ BRAVES
Truist Park.
Final
NATIONALS
2
Braves
1
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–1 Nationals
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 29% | 71% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
46–41
53% across 87 games
Braves this season
46–41
53% across 87 games