Friday · May 22 ✦
NATIONALS @ BRAVES
Truist Park.
Final
Nationals
4
BRAVES
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–5 Braves
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 33% | 67% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games