← Back to the recap

Sunday · May 17 · 1:37 PM ✦

RED SOX @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

Red Sox 1
BRAVES 8

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–8 Braves

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 29% 71% 2–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Atlanta Braves 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 41% 59% 3–4 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games