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Sunday · May 17 · 1:37 PM ✦

RED SOX @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

Red Sox 1
BRAVES 8

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–8 Braves

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 29% 71% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 3–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 47% 53%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 46% 54%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 41% 59% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games

Braves this season

25–21

54% across 46 games