Saturday · May 16 · 7:16 PM ✦
RED SOX @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 82 degrees, cloudy, wind 3 mph calm
Final
RED SOX
3
Braves
2
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–2 Red Sox
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
32–12
73% across 44 games
Braves this season
25–21
54% across 46 games