Friday · May 15 · 7:17 PM ✦
RED SOX @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 77 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph in from rf
Final
Red Sox
2
BRAVES
3
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–3 Braves
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 27% | 73% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games