Tuesday · May 12 ✦
CUBS @ BRAVES
Truist Park.
Final
Cubs
2
BRAVES
5
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–5 Braves
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 67% | 33% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
21–24
47% across 45 games
Braves this season
25–21
54% across 46 games