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Wednesday · May 13 · 7:15 PM ✦

CUBS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 76 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

Cubs 1
BRAVES 4

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 1–4 Braves

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Braves Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Chicago Cubs 54% 46%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 51% 49%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

21–24

47% across 45 games

Braves this season

25–21

54% across 46 games