Thursday · April 30 · 12:17 PM ✦
TIGERS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 62 degrees, cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l
Final
TIGERS
5
Braves
2
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–5 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 5–2 Tigers
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 27% | 73% | 3–6 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 64% | 36% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | 3–5 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games