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Tuesday · April 28 · 7:16 PM ✦

TIGERS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 65 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

Tigers 2
BRAVES 5

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–5 Braves

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 56% 44% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 46% 54%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 18% 82%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 4–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games