Tuesday · April 28 · 7:16 PM ✦
TIGERS @ BRAVES
Truist Park. · 65 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf
Final
Tigers
2
BRAVES
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–5 Braves
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 36% | 64% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 44% | 56% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 18% | 82% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games