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Friday · April 24 ✦

PHILLIES @ BRAVES

Truist Park.

Final

Phillies 3
BRAVES 5

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–5 Braves

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Braves Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 65% 35% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 38% 62%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 35% 65%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 46% 54% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games