Friday · April 24 ✦
PHILLIES @ BRAVES
Truist Park.
Final
Phillies
3
BRAVES
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 3–5 Braves
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games