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Saturday · April 25 · 7:15 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 70 degrees, cloudy, wind 3 mph out to rf

Final

PHILLIES 8
Braves 5

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 8–5 Phillies

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Braves Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 5–5
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 40% 60% 4–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games