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Sunday · April 26 · 1:36 PM ✦

PHILLIES @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to cf

Final

Phillies 2
BRAVES 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–6 Braves

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 5–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 46% 54%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 40% 60%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 46% 54% 4–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games