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Tuesday · April 14 ✦

MARLINS @ BRAVES

Truist Park.

Final

Marlins 5
BRAVES 6

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 5–6 Braves

66%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 35% 65% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 35% 65% 2–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 41% 59%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 19% 81%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 34% 66% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

29–18

62% across 47 games

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games