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Monday · April 13 ✦

MARLINS @ BRAVES

Truist Park.

Final

MARLINS 10
Braves 4

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 10–4 Marlins

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Braves Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 42% 58%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 50% 50%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 47% 53% 4–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

29–18

62% across 47 games

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games