Tuesday · March 31 ✦
ATHLETICS @ BRAVES
Truist Park.
Final
ATHLETICS
5
Braves
2
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 5–2 Athletics
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Athletics | Braves | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Athletics | 64% | 36% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Athletics | 58% | 42% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Athletics this season
31–17
65% across 48 games
Braves this season
25–22
53% across 47 games