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Sunday · March 29 · 1:35 pm ✦

ROYALS @ BRAVES

Truist Park. · 54 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

ROYALS 4
Braves 1

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–1 Royals

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Braves Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 38% 62% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 4–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 45% 55%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 42% 58%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 44% 56% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games

Braves this season

25–22

53% across 47 games