← Back to the recap

Friday · September 25 · 6:40 pm ✦

ASTROS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 11 mph out to cf

Final

Astros 5
ATHLETICS 6

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Athletics · Actual: 5–6 Athletics

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Athletics 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest Athletics 43% 57% — ✓
Consensus Athletics 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games