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Thursday · September 24 · 6:40 pm ✦

ASTROS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park. · 92 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

ASTROS 7
Athletics 5

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Athletics · Actual: 7–5 Astros

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Athletics 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Athletics 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Athletics 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Athletics 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games