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Friday · August 28 ✦

ORIOLES @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

ORIOLES 4
Athletics 3

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 4–3 Orioles

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 60% 40% 3–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Athletics 43% 57% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% — ✓
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 52% 48% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games