← Back to the recap

Tuesday · August 25 ✦

TWINS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

Twins 2
ATHLETICS 4

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–4 Athletics

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 64% 36% 4–2 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Athletics 43% 57% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 60% 40% — ✗
Consensus Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games