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Tuesday · August 11 ✦

RAYS @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

RAYS 12
Athletics 4

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Athletics · Actual: 12–4 Rays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Athletics 32% 68% — ✗
Random Forest Athletics 33% 67% — ✗
Consensus Athletics 46% 54% 3–3 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games