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Wednesday · July 29 ✦

RED SOX @ ATHLETICS

Sutter Health Park.

Final

RED SOX 4
Athletics 2

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Athletics · Actual: 4–2 Red Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Athletics Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Athletics 37% 63%
Random Forest Athletics 39% 61%
Consensus Athletics 47% 53% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games

Athletics this season

73–51

59% across 124 games